Orléans II vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
13º
6º
32
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
ORL
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 0
CSL
33%
25%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
ORL
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 1
AVO
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
ORL
88%
10%
3%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
TOU
8%
17%
75%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAI
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DRO
1 - 2
CHA
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
TOU
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |