Orléans II vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
8º
56
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
ORL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 1
NEU
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 1
ORL
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SML
1 - 0
ORL
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAI
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
BAL
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
SML
3 - 1
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |