CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Orlando Pirates vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
36%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 2
PIR
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 1
ZAN
78%
17%
6%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 1
PIR
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PIR
0 - 0
PRE
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 2
TPM
30%
31%
38%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TPM
6 - 0
CEN
90%
8%
3%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TSH
1 - 1
TPM
32%
31%
37%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
TPM
4 - 0
ROJ
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
TPM
15%
21%
64%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | -1 |