Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SFC
47%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
PIR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 0
MPU
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
PIR
21%
29%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
SFC
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
SUN
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |