Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
PIR
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
PIR
1 - 1
PLS
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 0
MPU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
PIR
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BID
2 - 1
PIR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 1
SSU
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 2
GOL
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 1
GOL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
GOL
2 - 0
MPU
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |