Orlando Pirates vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MPU
1 - 0
PIR
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
PIR
4 - 0
BID
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 2
PIR
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SSU
0 - 0
PIR
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PIR
2 - 1
BLO
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
POL
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
SSU
3 - 2
FRE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
FRE
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 1
BLO
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 1
FRE
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |