Orlando Pirates vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
PIR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 2
CHI
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
PIR
28%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ECF
0 - 1
PIR
7%
16%
78%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
REC
1 - 1
PIR
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
FRE
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
EAG
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COS
2 - 2
FRE
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |