Orlando Pirates vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 2
PIR
24%
29%
48%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PIR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SUN
3 - 1
PIR
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PIR
4 - 0
APT
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 13 | 60 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
PIR
2 - 1
BLO
53%
26%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FRE
0 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 3
BID
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
FRE
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TUS
1 - 6
FRE
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |