Orlando Pirates vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
PLS
0 - 1
PIR
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
MPU
1 - 1
PIR
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
GOL
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
COS
1 - 0
PIR
19%
28%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 2
SWA
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
COS
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
FRE
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |