Confederation Cup Final
Global 1-2
Orlando Pirates vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
PIR
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
PIR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 3
PIR
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
PIR
0 - 2
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PIR
2 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
ETO
44%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ETO
2 - 1
CAB
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CSH
0 - 1
ETO
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
ETO
33%
30%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ETO
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -2 |