Orlando City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
ORL
0 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 1
ORL
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ORL
4 - 1
OCA
81%
12%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PIT
0 - 1
ORL
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
TAM
3 - 2
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 3
NYC
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 1
TAM
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
TAM
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 3
ATL
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |