Orlando City vs Colorado Rapids analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
OCA
1 - 2
ORL
11%
16%
73%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ORL
3 - 4
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 1
DAY
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -3 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 1
ORL
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PNN
2 - 4
ORL
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Colorado Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 1
COR
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COC
0 - 2
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HOD
1 - 1
COR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |