Orlando City vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
AUR
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 1
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
NYC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
NSC
0 - 3
ORL
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NER
1 - 3
ORL
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 4
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |