Orlando City II vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
ORL
0 - 2
TAM
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ORL
5 - 6
NYO
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RIC
0 - 1
ORL
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
ORL
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CFO
2 - 0
TUC
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GSF
2 - 2
TUC
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CPS
1 - 2
TUC
15%
16%
69%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
TUC
41%
23%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 3
TUC
20%
18%
62%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |