Orkla vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
13º
13º
59
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
ORK
71%
15%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORK
3 - 0
VER
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
5 - 0
ORK
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 1
ROS
36%
20%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 1
ORK
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 0
ROS
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 3
RFK
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 2
NAR
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 0
BYA
54%
22%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SKT
1 - 2
NAR
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |