Orkla vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ORK
3 - 6
STE
42%
20%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
3 - 1
ORK
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ORK
3 - 2
SVE
77%
13%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
STR
2 - 2
ORK
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ORK
2 - 2
ROS
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
FKA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
RBK
5 - 0
NAR
89%
9%
2%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RAN
6 - 0
NAR
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
4 - 2
BRY
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
VID
3 - 1
NAR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |