Orkla vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
13º
12º
33
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
70% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 1
ORK
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ORK
1 - 3
SUR
88%
8%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 2
STA
37%
20%
43%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 3
ORK
49%
22%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ORK
1 - 0
TIL
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
SUR
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 4
LIL
70%
16%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 1
TIL
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 4
LIL
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
STR
11%
14%
75%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |