Orizaba vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 0
ORI
54%
27%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
IND
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
REB
1 - 2
ORI
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 2
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UDG
0 - 0
DUR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
UDG
2 - 2
DOR
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
UDG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |