Orizaba vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
UAT
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
REB
2 - 0
ORI
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 1
ORI
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 0
LOB
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 0
VER
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 0
TIJ
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
TIJ
4 - 2
UDG
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
REB
1 - 0
TIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 0
IRA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |