Orizaba vs Tuxtla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 2
ORI
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 2
TIJ
29%
27%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
AGU
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 1
DUR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
JAG
4 - 1
TEC
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LOB
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 2
MEX
35%
28%
38%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |