Orizaba vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 3
DOR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
ORI
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALT
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 2
UDG
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
DUR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 0
LEO
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 1
DUR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |