Orizaba vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
ORI
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ORI
3 - 1
VER
27%
27%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 0
ORI
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
IRA
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
ORI
75%
18%
7%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
DUR
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
DUR
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
1 - 0
DUR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |