Orizaba vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MON
3 - 2
ORI
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
TEC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 1
DUR
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
JAG
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LOB
2 - 2
DUR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
CAZ
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |