Orizaba vs Académicos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VER
3 - 1
ORI
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
ORI
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 1
MEX
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 5
DUR
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
AGU
3 - 0
REB
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 0
AGU
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 1
LEO
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CDT
0 - 0
AGU
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |