Oriolik Oriovac vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriolik Oriovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NKK
1 - 1
ORI
33%
23%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ORI
2 - 0
NKS
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SLA
1 - 1
ORI
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ORI
2 - 0
VAL
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 1
ORI
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VUK
2 - 1
CRO
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NAS
1 - 2
VUK
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VUK
6 - 0
VUT
64%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
VUK
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
VUK
1 - 0
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |