Orillamar SD vs Xuventude de Crendes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 2
ORI
47%
24%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
OLI
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 1
ORI
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
SME
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ORI
3 - 0
CCR
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Xuventude de Crendes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
XCC
0 - 1
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
XCC
43%
25%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
XCC
1 - 0
VAL
25%
23%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CLU
2 - 2
XCC
49%
21%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BOI
2 - 1
XCC
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |