Oriku vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
POG
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DEV
0 - 0
ORI
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
ORI
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 1
BES
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ORI
4 - 3
EGN
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 2
BES
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
APO
1 - 2
LUS
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
ORI
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 1
SHE
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
EGN
1 - 2
LUS
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |