Cup Last 16
Global 3-5
Oriku vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
EGN
0 - 4
ORI
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 0
KEL
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
ORI
64%
22%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
5 - 1
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BIL
1 - 1
ORI
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
LAÇ
28%
30%
42%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
TEU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
KUK
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KFS
2 - 0
FLA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |