Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
11º
17
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 1
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 1
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KFS
4 - 1
ORI
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 2
LUZ
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 4
DIN
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BES
0 - 4
DIN
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TER
0 - 0
BES
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
BES
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
TUR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |