Oriku vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
11º
38
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BES
1 - 0
ORI
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 2
PAR
10%
20%
71%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 1
TOM
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
ORI
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
ORI
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
APO
1 - 3
DIN
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
APO
1 - 1
BES
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
APO
31%
29%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
APO
3 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BES
0 - 1
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |