HNK Orijent Rijeka vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NKJ
4 - 2
ORI
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
DUB
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
IST
1 - 3
ORI
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 2
HDR
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 0
ORI
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 2
ZRI
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 0
VUK
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
VUK
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KOZ
2 - 1
VUK
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VUK
4 - 2
DUB
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |