HNK Orijent Rijeka vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 2
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
ZMI
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 2
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 0
NKR
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
ORI
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
ZMI
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 1
VUK
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 2
BIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKJ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 2
VUK
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |