HNK Orijent Rijeka vs NK Sesvete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
10º
10º
13
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 47 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 39 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 33 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 31 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 28 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 28 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 27 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 27 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 24 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 15 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
ZMI
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
KAR
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 1
ORI
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
NKJ
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
ORI
40%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Sesvete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NKR
0 - 1
VUK
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NKR
1 - 0
DUB
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MZL
1 - 0
NKR
50%
23%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SCM
2 - 0
NKR
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZMI
3 - 1
NKR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |