HNK Orijent Rijeka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
6º
22
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 0
ORI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
BIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 2
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
KUS
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 3
ORI
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 2
BIJ
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
KUS
3 - 0
HDR
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
HDR
2 - 2
ZMI
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NKJ
3 - 2
HDR
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HDR
2 - 2
RUD
17%
24%
60%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |