HNK Orijent Rijeka vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
37
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 0
BIJ
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
5 - 4
HNS
16%
26%
59%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SOL
4 - 1
ORI
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
VUK
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
6 - 0
ZAG
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 4
ZRI
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HNS
2 - 0
HNK
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
SOL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HNK
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |