HNK Orijent Rijeka vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
36
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
ORI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 1
ZRI
20%
27%
53%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 2
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 1
ZMI
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ZMI
2 - 0
HNK
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
ZMI
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
ZMI
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |