HNK Orijent Rijeka vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
6º
43
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
DUB
0 - 3
ORI
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 0
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKD
2 - 2
ORI
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RUD
3 - 1
ORI
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 0
VUK
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 0
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RUD
4 - 1
ZMI
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ZMI
2 - 1
VUK
33%
27%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZMI
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZMI
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |