Orihuela CF vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 3
MUR
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ORI
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 2
GUA
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 0
ONT
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TER
2 - 3
ORI
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
7 - 0
RIB
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAL
14%
25%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
6 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |