Orihuela CF vs FC Jove Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
16º
1º
29
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
59% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ACE
3 - 1
ORI
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
HER
18%
25%
57%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ATZ
0 - 0
ORI
47%
27%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 2
ALC
13%
22%
64%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 3
INT
18%
25%
57%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JOV
1 - 0
HER
38%
28%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JOV
0 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REC
2 - 0
JOV
29%
28%
43%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JOV
2 - 1
HER
48%
27%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ACE
1 - 0
JOV
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |