Orihuela CF vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
ORI
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 1
GAV
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
HOS
0 - 1
ORI
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 1
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SAB
1 - 1
ORI
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 1
SEV
11%
23%
67%
|
46 | 92 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 0
BEN
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 1
DEN
61%
24%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 0
BAD
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
IBI
1 - 0
DEN
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |