Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-3
Orihuela CF vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 0
ORI
31%
27%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 1
OLI
24%
28%
49%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ORI
5 - 0
SEG
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 1
ALM
80%
15%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
LFC
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 5
LOR
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
PUL
79%
13%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 2
LOR
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
LOR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |