Orihuela CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LLE
1 - 1
ORI
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ONT
1 - 1
ORI
38%
30%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 3
ALZ
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
ORI
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
GAV
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDT
71%
19%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CDT
1 - 0
CIU
59%
24%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
CDT
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CDT
4 - 0
GAL
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HEL
4 - 0
CDT
31%
27%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |