Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Orihuela CF vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 0
ONT
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TER
2 - 3
ORI
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UES
0 - 3
ORI
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ORI
3 - 0
BEN
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATB
0 - 0
ORI
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 5
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
EXT
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 4
GUA
32%
29%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
ULP
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |