Orihuela CF vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ORI
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MLL
2 - 0
ORI
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ORI
0 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CEM
2 - 1
ORI
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ORI
3 - 1
HOS
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 2
MLL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CEM
1 - 1
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 1
FCB
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
RCD
2 - 1
ALI
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 2
REU
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |