Oriente Petrolero vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 4
ALI
52%
21%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 0
OPE
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1977 |
NAC
3 - 1
OPE
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
STR
3 - 1
SPC
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |