Oriente Petrolero vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
STR
7 - 0
OPE
83%
12%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 0
BLO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
OPE
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
2 - 3
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
JWI
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 3
REA
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 1
RPO
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAC
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
STR
4 - 2
SAC
88%
9%
4%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |