Oriente Petrolero vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 2
OPE
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 5
UCO
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
UCO
4 - 0
OPE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 1
OPE
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
GUA
0 - 0
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1997 |
EST
3 - 1
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
GRE
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |