Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
14º
9º
19
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 44 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 41 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 35 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 32 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 32 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 31 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 3
OPE
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 1
BLO
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 0
ROY
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DGV
2 - 0
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 0
JWI
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
ROY
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
DGV
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
IND
3 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
ABB
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BLO
4 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |