Oriente Petrolero vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
0 - 4
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
2 - 0
OPE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
OPE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
RIV
3 - 1
OPE
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
5 - 1
GUA
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |