Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
BLO
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
OPE
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
RPO
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 1
OPE
27%
25%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 2
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOL
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
BLO
2 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |